BY raising gas prices by up to 113pc for six months, the coalition government has implemented another IMFmandated prior action for the resumption of its stalled bailout package. Even if the hike had not been `imposed`, an increase in the rates would have been inevitable to save the two gas companies from bankruptcy. The increase to take effect from last month will help the government recover Rs310bn from consumers in the second half of the current fiscal and slow down the build-up in gas sector debt. Another rise in gas prices is expected from July.
If the gas sector`s long-term sustainability is to be ensured, the authorities will have to move beyond periodic hikes in prices to linl Pakistan`s economic issues are long-standing and their solutions though tough known to everyone. However, it is unfortunate that no government has ever had the political will to sort them out. Whatever half-hearted `reforms` successive governments initiated were implemented under pressure from international creditors. This has brought us to a situation where the global rating agency Fitch has downgraded Pakistan`s long-term foreign currency issuer default rating to `CCC-` from `CCC+`, citing further worsening in liquidity and policy risks along with pressure on reserves. The drop comes four months after Fitch revised down the ranking to CCC+. It said the downgrade reflected a sharp deterioration in external liquidity and funding conditions, along with the decline in foreign exchange reserves to critical levels.
The agency assumes a revival of the IMF programme but doesn`t rule out `large risks to continued programme performance and funding, including in the run-up to this year`s elections`. In its view, a default or debt restructuring is an increasingly real possibility as the country`s reserves drop to less than three weeks of imports. With Pakistan`s credibility at its lowest point and the ruling elite showing no sign of a desire to change their lifestyles, it is foolish to expect the world to bail us out. Why should it unless we are willing to take substantial measures ourselves?